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Winning the consumer decision journey

Marketers need to understand the iterative and circular consumer decision journey so they reach consumers in the right place at the right time with the rightmessage.

  • December 2011
  • by David Court, Dave Elzinga, Susan Mulder, and Ole Jørgen Vetvik

Author profile

David Court

David Court

Director

If marketing has one goal, it’s to reach consumers at the moments that most influence their decisions. That’s why consumer electronics companies make sure not only that customers see their televisions in stores but also that those televisions display vivid high-definition pictures. It’s why Amazon.com, a decade ago, began offering targeted product recommendations to consumers already logged in and ready to buy. And it explains P&G’s decision, long ago, to produce radio and then TV programs to reach the audiences most likely to buy its products—hence, the term “soap opera.”

Marketing has always sought those moments, or touch points, when consumers are open to influence. For years, touch points have been understood through the metaphor of a “funnel”—consumers start with a number of potential brands in mind (the wide end of the funnel), marketing is then directed at them as they methodically reduce that number and move through the funnel, and at the end they emerge with the one brand they chose to purchase. But today, the funnel concept fails to capture all the touch points and key buying factors resulting from the explosion of product choices and digital channels, coupled with the emergence of an increasingly discerning, well-informed consumer. A more sophisticated approach is required to help marketers navigate this environment, which is less linear and more complicated than the funnel suggests. We call this approach the consumer decision journey. Our thinking is applicable to any geographic market that has different kinds of media, Internet access, and wide product choice, including big cities in emerging markets such as China and India.

We developed this approach by examining the purchase decisions of almost 20,000 consumers across five industries and three continents. Our research showed that the proliferation of media and products requires marketers to find new ways to get their brands included in the initial-consideration set that consumers develop as they begin their decision journey. We also found that because of the shift away from one-way communication—from marketers to consumers—toward a two-way conversation, marketers need a more systematic way to satisfy customer demands and manage word-of-mouth. In addition, the research identified two different types of customer loyalty, challenging companies to reinvigorate their loyalty programs and the way they manage the customer experience.

Finally, the research reinforced our belief in the importance not only of aligning all elements of marketing—strategy, spending, channel management, and message—with the journey that consumers undertake when they make purchasing decisions but also of integrating those elements across the organization. When marketers understand this journey and direct their spending and messaging to the moments of maximum influence, they stand a much greater chance of reaching consumers in the right place at the right time with the right message.

How consumers make decisions

Every day, people form impressions of brands from touch points such as advertisements, news reports, conversations with family and friends, and product experiences. Unless consumers are actively shopping, much of that exposure appears wasted. But what happens when something triggers the impulse to buy? Those accumulated impressions then become crucial because they shape the initial-consideration set: the small number of brands consumers regard at the outset as potential purchasing options.

The funnel analogy suggests that consumers systematically narrow the initial-consideration set as they weigh options, make decisions, and buy products. Then, the postsale phase becomes a trial period determining consumer loyalty to brands and the likelihood of buying their products again. Marketers have been taught to “push” marketing toward consumers at each stage of the funnel process to influence their behavior. But our qualitative and quantitative research in the automobile, skin care, insurance, consumer electronics, and mobile-telecom industries shows that something quite different now occurs. The consumer decision journey

Actually, the decision-making process is a more circular journey, with four primary phases representing potential battlegrounds where marketers can win or lose: initial consideration; active evaluation, or the process of researching potential purchases; closure, when consumers buy brands; and postpurchase, when consumers experience them. The funnel metaphor does help a good deal—for example, by providing a way to understand the strength of a brand compared with its competitors at different stages, highlighting the bottlenecks that stall adoption, and making it possible to focus on different aspects of the marketing challenge. Nonetheless, we found that in three areas profound changes in the way consumers make buying decisions called for a new approach.

Brand consideration

Imagine that a consumer has decided to buy a car. As with most kinds of products, the consumer will immediately be able to name an initial-consideration set of brands to purchase. In our qualitative research, consumers told us that the fragmenting of media and the proliferation of products have actually made them reduce the number of brands they consider at the outset. Faced with a plethora of choices and communications, consumers tend to fall back on the limited set of brands that have made it through the wilderness of messages. Brand awareness matters: brands in the initial-consideration set can be up to three times more likely to be purchased eventually than brands that aren’t in it.

Not all is lost for brands excluded from this first stage, however. Contrary to the funnel metaphor, the number of brands under consideration during the active-evaluation phase may now actually expand rather than narrow as consumers seek information and shop a category. Brands may “interrupt” the decision-making process by entering into consideration and even force the exit of rivals. The number of brands added in later stages differs by industry: our research showed that people actively evaluating personal computers added an average of 1 brand to their initial-consideration set of 1.7, while automobile shoppers added 2.2 to their initial set of 3.8. This change in behavior creates opportunities for marketers by adding touch points when brands can make an impact. Brands already under consideration can no longer take that status for granted.

Empowered consumers

The second profound change is that outreach of consumers to marketers has become dramatically more important than marketers’ outreach to consumers. Marketing used to be driven by companies; “pushed” on consumers through traditional advertising, direct marketing, sponsorships, and other channels. At each point in the funnel, as consumers whittled down their brand options, marketers would attempt to sway their decisions. This imprecise approach often failed to reach the right consumers at the right time.

In today’s decision journey, consumer-driven marketing is increasingly important as customers seize control of the process and actively “pull” information helpful to them. Our research found that two-thirds of the touch points during the active-evaluation phase involve consumer-driven marketing activities, such as Internet reviews and word-of-mouth recommendations from friends and family, as well as in-store interactions and recollections of past experiences. A third of the touch points involve company-driven marketing. Traditional marketing remains important, but the change in the way consumers make decisions means that marketers must move aggressively beyond purely push-style communication and learn to influence consumer-driven touch points, such as word-of-mouth and Internet information sites.

The experience of US automobile manufacturers shows why marketers must master these new touch points. Companies like Chrysler and GM have long focused on using strong sales incentives and in-dealer programs to win during the active-evaluation and moment-of-purchase phases. These companies have been fighting the wrong battle: the real challenges for them are the initial-consideration and postpurchase phases, which Asian brands such as Toyota Motor and Honda dominate with their brand strength and product quality. Positive experiences with Asian vehicles have made purchasers loyal to them, and that in turn generates positive word-of-mouth that increases the likelihood of their making it into the initial-consideration set. Not even constant sales incentives by US manufacturers can overcome this virtuous cycle.

Two types of loyalty

When consumers reach a decision at the moment of purchase, the marketer’s work has just begun: the postpurchase experience shapes their opinion for every subsequent decision in the category, so the journey is an ongoing cycle. More than 60 percent of consumers of facial skin care products, for example, go online to conduct further research after the purchase—a touch point unimaginable when the funnel was conceived.

Although the need to provide an after-sales experience that inspires loyalty and therefore repeat purchases isn’t new, not all loyalty is equal in today’s increasingly competitive, complex world. Of consumers who profess loyalty to a brand, some are active loyalists, who not only stick with it but also recommend it. Others are passive loyalists who, whether from laziness or confusion caused by the dizzying array of choices, stay with a brand without being committed to it. Despite their claims of allegiance, passive consumers are open to messages from competitors who give them a reason to switch.

Take the automotive-insurance industry, in which most companies have a large base of seemingly loyal customers who renew every year. Our research found as much as a sixfold difference in the ratio of active to passive loyalists among major brands, so companies have opportunities to interrupt the loyalty loop. The US insurers GEICO and Progressive are doing just that, snaring the passively loyal customers of other companies by making comparison shopping and switching easy. They are giving consumers reasons to leave, not excuses to stay.

All marketers should make expanding the base of active loyalists a priority, and to do so they must focus their spending on the new touch points. That will require entirely new marketing efforts, not just investments in Internet sites and efforts to drive word-of-mouth or a renewed commitment to customer satisfaction.

Aligning marketing with the consumer decision journey

Developing a deep knowledge of how consumers make decisions is the first step. For most marketers, the difficult part is focusing strategies and spending on the most influential touch points. In some cases, the marketing effort’s direction must change, perhaps from focusing brand advertising on the initial-consideration phase to developing Internet properties that help consumers gain a better understanding of the brand when they actively evaluate it. Other marketers may need to retool their loyalty programs by focusing on active rather than passive loyalists or to spend money on in-store activities or word-of-mouth programs. The increasing complexity of the consumer decision journey will force virtually all companies to adopt new ways of measuring consumer attitudes, brand performance, and the effectiveness of marketing expenditures across the whole process.

Without such a realignment of spending, marketers face two risks. First, they could waste money: at a time when revenue growth is critical and funding tight, advertising and other investments will be less effective because consumers aren’t getting the right information at the right time. Second, marketers could seem out of touch—for instance, by trying to push products on customers rather than providing them with the information, support, and experience they want to reach decisions themselves.

Four kinds of activities can help marketers address the new realities of the consumer decision journey.

Prioritize objectives and spending

In the past, most marketers consciously chose to focus on either end of the marketing funnel—building awareness or generating loyalty among current customers. Our research reveals a need to be much more specific about the touch points used to influence consumers as they move through initial consideration to active evaluation to closure. By looking just at the traditional marketing funnel’s front or back end, companies could miss exciting opportunities not only to focus investments on the most important points of the decision journey but also to target the right customers.

In the skin care industry, for example, we found that some brands are much stronger in the initial-consideration phase than in active evaluation or closure. For them, our research suggests a need to shift focus from overall brand positioning—already powerful enough to ensure that they get considered—to efforts that make consumers act or to investments in packaging and in-store activities targeted at the moment of purchase.

Tailor messaging

For some companies, new messaging is required to win in whatever part of the consumer journey offers the greatest revenue opportunity. A general message cutting across all stages may have to be replaced by one addressing weaknesses at a specific point, such as initial consideration or active evaluation.

Take the automotive industry. A number of brands in it could grow if consumers took them into consideration. Hyundai, the South Korean car manufacturer, tackled precisely this problem by adopting a marketing campaign built around protecting consumers financially by allowing them to return their vehicles if they lose their jobs. This provocative message, tied to something very real for Americans, became a major factor in helping Hyundai break into the initial-consideration set of many new consumers. In a poor automotive market, the company’s market share is growing.

Invest in consumer-driven marketing

To look beyond funnel-inspired push marketing, companies must invest in vehicles that let marketers interact with consumers as they learn about brands. The epicenter of consumer-driven marketing is the Internet, crucial during the active-evaluation phase as consumers seek information, reviews, and recommendations. Strong performance at this point in the decision journey requires a mind-set shift from buying media to developing properties that attract consumers: digital assets such as Web sites about products, programs to foster word-of-mouth, and systems that customize advertising by viewing the context and the consumer. Many organizations face the difficult and, at times, risky venture of shifting money to fundamentally new properties, much as P&G invested to gain radio exposure in the 1930s and television exposure in the 1950s.

Broadband connectivity, for example, lets marketers provide rich applications to consumers learning about products. Simple, dynamic tools that help consumers decide which products make sense for them are now essential elements of an online arsenal. American Express’s card finder and Ford’s car configurator, for example, rapidly and visually sort options with each click, making life easier for consumers at every stage of the decision journey. Marketers can influence online word-of-mouth by using tools that spot online conversations about brands, analyze what’s being said, and allow marketers to post their own comments.

Finally, content-management systems and online targeting engines let marketers create hundreds of variations on an advertisement, taking into account the context where it appears, the past behavior of viewers, and a real-time inventory of what an organization needs to promote. For instance, many airlines manage and relentlessly optimize thousands of combinations of offers, prices, creative content, and formats to ensure that potential travelers see the most relevant opportunities. Digital marketing has long promised this kind of targeting. Now we finally have the tools to make it more accurate and to manage it cost effectively.

Win the in-store battle

Our research found that one consequence of the new world of marketing complexity is that more consumers hold off their final purchase decision until they’re in a store. Merchandising and packaging have therefore become very important selling factors, a point that’s not widely understood. Consumers want to look at a product in action and are highly influenced by the visual dimension: up to 40 percent of them change their minds because of something they see, learn, or do at this point—say, packaging, placement, or interactions with salespeople.

In skin care, for example, some brands that are fairly unlikely to be in a consumer’s initial-consideration set nonetheless win at the point of purchase with attractive packages and on-shelf messaging. Such elements have now become essential selling tools because consumers of these products are still in play when they enter a store. That’s also true in some consumer electronics segments, which explains those impressive rows of high-definition TVs in stores.

Sometimes it takes a combination of approaches—great packaging, a favorable shelf position, forceful fixtures, informative signage—to attract consumers who enter a store with a strong attachment to their initial-consideration set. Our research shows that in-store touch points provide a significant opportunity for other brands.

Integrating all customer-facing activities

In many companies, different parts of the organization undertake specific customer-facing activities—including informational Web sites, PR, and loyalty programs. Funding is opaque. A number of executives are responsible for each element, and they don’t coordinate their work or even communicate. These activities must be integrated and given appropriate leadership.

The necessary changes are profound. A comprehensive view of all customer-facing activities is as important for business unit heads as for CEOs and chief marketing officers. But the full scope of the consumer decision journey goes beyond the traditional role of CMOs, who in many companies focus on brand building, advertisements, and perhaps market research. These responsibilities aren’t going away. What’s now required of CMOs is a broader role that realigns marketing with the current realities of consumer decision making, intensifies efforts to shape the public profiles of companies, and builds new marketing capabilities.

Consider the range of skills needed to manage the customer experience in the automotive-insurance industry, in which some companies have many passive loyalists who can be pried away by rivals. Increasing the percentage of active loyalists requires not only integrating customer-facing activities into the marketing organization but also more subtle forms of organizational cooperation. These include identifying active loyalists through customer research, as well as understanding what drives that loyalty and how to harness it with word-of-mouth programs. Companies need an integrated, organization-wide “voice of the customer,” with skills from advertising to public relations, product development, market research, and data management. It’s hard but necessary to unify these activities, and the CMO is the natural candidate to do so.

Marketers have long been aware of profound changes in the way consumers research and buy products. Yet a failure to change the focus of marketing to match that evolution has undermined the core goal of reaching customers at the moments that most influence their purchases. The shift in consumer decision making means that marketers need to adjust their spending and to view the change not as a loss of power over consumers but as an opportunity to be in the right place at the right time, giving them the information and support they need to make the right decisions.

A version of this article originally appeared in the McKinsey Quarterly, June 2009

Comments (22)

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Great concept and article. In today’s disposable world no purchase decision is final, I would suggest that “consider” and “advocate” switch positions and “Re-” be added to the the “Evaluate”

John Parlamenti, December 28, 2012 at 9:43am

Thanks for sharing this article. Find it very helpful to get more clear idea about consumer decision journey.

Soni Chhabra, December 28, 2012 at 2:15am

Many things can – and do – go wrong in a typical B2B customer-supplier relationship. Rarely is a customer so happy with a particular vendor that he will catch himself being an “active loyalist” of that vendor. On the other hand, most B2B purchase decisions are subject to scrutiny at some stage or the other, so it’s not easy being a “passive loyalist” either. All through my 25+ years of being in B2B, I have seen a third category of customers who stick around with a particular vendor just because this is the relationship that has the least number of problems. When I used to work for India’s #1 IT company 25 years ago, most of our customers used to say that we were no great shakes in absolute terms but that our competitors were worse than us in relative terms, so they kept buying from us.

This is a useful framework, nicely structured and truly reflective of what we see in the marketplace. With regard to comments requesting substantiation: I suggest using this as a context and taking it as the expert opinion piece that it clearly is. Providing data for every insight in such an article would really kill it. Well done David!

Jacqui Greeff, October 22, 2012 at 3:01am

Is this pure armchair research, or is there robust data somewhere ?

Asking consumers why they selected one option over the other, is clearly discredited as a valid source of data by tons of research. People who purchased Brand A, differentiated from its closest rival in their consideration set Brand B, only by packaging and presentation, will claim all sorts of rational reasons to justify their decision.

It is at best an interesting hypothesis

A Shukla, October 21, 2012 at 1:48am

The consumer decision journey presents a much broader proposition – if applied correctly, it can be the framework for transforming traditional processes into a unified ecosystem for customer delight and experience management.

Deepak, October 19, 2012 at 5:35pm

What account did McKinsey take of the insights from the behavioural sciences (neuroscience, cognitive and social psychology and behavioural economics) on how human beings take decisions? Asking people why they do what they do is neither a valid nor robust method since the majority of decisions are controlled by non-conscious processes to which we have no conscious access. McKinsey need to keep up to date with the latest knowledge!

Phil Barden, October 19, 2012 at 1:33pm

Reply to Phil Barden

I have to agree that negating to include the subconcious mind and how it is best impacted is like trying to reengineer the transistor radio by only looking at the external buttons, dials and user interactions with these.

Unless you actively campain to the sensory and emotional subconscious, you will loose out to whom ever does apply the law of reciprocation. Whom ever provides the most pre-buying emotionally recognised value, chunked and timed to create an emotional preference will win the sale and consequent after-sales and service.

In all fairness I have to disclose that I work primarily in online marketing and hence is biased to the models and frameworks of the digital world of marketing.

If you find this topic interesting try google ‘Brendon Buchard experts academy’ he is king when it comes to campaigning to the subconscious-mind. And really good at walking the walk. Very well worth the time to learn from him.

Solidcreation, October 21, 2012 at 7:58am

Think for a moment how this new model gets another boost if you switch positions for experience and evaluation…
In doing so, the model comes very close to models that try to explain why people say to commit to a certain behaviour (non smoking, ethical behaviour, environmental behavior, …) but don’t behave in such way later on.

Sin Declerc, October 19, 2012 at 12:53pm

How does this model apply to B2B markets? What is the role of a Supplier or a Distributor in managing this new set of capabilities?
Many thanks

Daniele Marano, October 19, 2012 at 6:20am

Very precise in fact I have am forwarding this to my friends.

keshav Bharadwaj, October 19, 2012 at 3:35am

Excellent theme. Though it looks very familiar, it is narrated clearly. Very helpful to align to consumer mindset especially in these kind of competitive environment.

Bhim, October 19, 2012 at 12:12am

Really interesting article on the 360 degrees of a consumer buying process – decisions aren’t linear in the same way they used to be. What to buy, where to buy and when to buy are rapidly changing. My initial response is that you’re describing relationship selling of products. A brand characteristic, campaign, website, product information or word of mouth can all enter the proposed cycle at any point to influence the decision to buy, or to buy again… really thought provoking model.

Ben Allsop, October 18, 2012 at 9:07pm

Seriously you are all over the map.

First of all in today’s market it is a waste of time to quote what happened it the 1930’s and 50’s. Secondly you only give a two word mention of product development in terms of systems integration. In today’s fast pace product life cycle consumers are sophisticated, knowledge, educated and armed with the smart communication tools that keeps them inform up to the minute. Big ticket items are well researched by the consumer. It’s called ‘shop and grab’. Stores no longer have to have knowledgeable sales people because if the customer hasn’t done their homework they can whip out they smart phones, take a picture of the item go on line and find the answer to any question they may have.

Your article falls extremely short as to the technical aspect of your consumers. The first part of your loop analysis is correct. But, what is missing is a second product life cycle loop. Doctor Barry Johnson goes in depth on the subject of the second loop in his book ‘Polarity Management’ Identifying and managing unsolvable problems. Many have gone on to modify his original concept including Intel Corp. They have a very sophisticated inner core feedback loop approach.

In short, the double loop system is the shape of the ‘infinity’ symbol. The major piece of the equation you’re missing is the R&D and manufacturing end. These are critical components that initiate the product life cycle over to marketing and sales. You talk of consumer electronics and cars. I guarantee you the people standing in line, for hours waiting for the next iphone knows every aspect of the technical developments that R&D and manufacturing made. They do not care how pretty the package is or how good the commercial was to get them there. All they want to know is; where is the closest store and what time do the doors open.
The innovation of cutting edge R&D and manufacturing drives sales not the other way around.

As far as brand loyalty; people don’t care want kind of car their parents bought any more. They want to know what mode of transpiration is going to get them to work during the week when gas just shot up to $5.00 a gallon. Hybrid and electric cars sales went tenfold in California last week because gas hit $5.65 a gallon. There was no marketing for increase sales just innovative R&D and sensible manufacturing techniques.

Respectfully,
Jefferey Alan Wilson Sr.
CEO of entelitec

Jeff Wilson, October 18, 2012 at 5:15pm

Reply to Jeff Wilson

I totally agree with you, the world we live in today, every consumer segment is well aware of products it chooses to buy, if not they would ask or refer to someone who has, today Marketing is more about creating what sells (based on R&D, understanding the NEED) rather than selling what you create and wasting your $$$ on Marketing & Advertisement. All the Models and Funnels do not look at this simple but important aspect.

Faraz Abdul Karim, October 19, 2012 at 1:41pm

Reply to Jeff Wilson

Thank you for such a precise comment; I couldn’t agree more.

Marc de Jong Luneau, October 22, 2012 at 4:18am

Merchandising and packaging appeal to the instinctual nature of the buyer, therefore have a direct impact on their purchasing decision. Many people have an instinctual attraction to a given product or service, and use their interaction with the product and evaluation of competition as a validation to their instinctual decisions. Neuromarketing is an exciting field that demonstrates this process.

Robert Krohn, October 18, 2012 at 4:49pm

Thanks for this great article with real good stuff.

I believe the funnel was never a true depiction of the process. Post purchase behavior had always been there but your new graph only highlights its significance. Word of mouth in yesteryears is now replaced with better-reaching social media.

Good work!

Bilal Qadir, October 18, 2012 at 4:38pm

Actually it’s two loops side by side on an x-y axis. Check out ‘Polarity Management by Barry Johnson PH. D. Two truly carry the concept to the next level apply it to ‘Machine Intelligence’

Jeff Wilson, October 18, 2012 at 4:22pm

Very useful. The principles and execution concepts described provide a modern, practical model of the anatomy of the consumer decision journey and how to maximize marketing/sales influence. I found the information valuable even for my B2B marketing, sales and business development programs. Thanks.

Rodrick Cross, October 18, 2012 at 3:57pm

Absolutely brilliant analysis and framework. However, it’s only a starting point to analyse and answer consumer needs on the different stages and touchpoints. It’s an absolute need to have a consumer behaviour and shopping habit ‘map’ identifying where do they do each of the action listed in your CDJ. The battle in store is lost if you just close the deal and have no data or link with the consumer after the store visit etc etc
thank you for this great material

Christophe Ferrasse, October 18, 2012 at 8:27am

This is not a comment but a request:

Would it be possible to receive the questions and exact distribution of responses? Based on my academic area of reasearch I’m most interested in your finding that “one consequence of the new world of marketing complexity is that more consumers hold off their final purchase decision until they’re in a store. Merchandising and packaging have therefore become very important selling factors, a point that’s not widely understood.”

I would be most grateful for more information on that interesting point.

With many thanks in advance and best regards,

Prof. Dr. Britta Bergemann
Furtwangen University, Germany

Prof. Dr. Britta Bergemann, May 16, 2012 at 4:48am

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